A Super Bowl rematch is on tap for Monday Night Football in NFL Week 11, with the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Philadelphia Eagles at Arrowhead Stadium. The teams have the best records in their respective conferences and both should be refreshed coming off their bye weeks. The Chiefs (7-2) played in Germany in Week 9, beating the Miami Dolphins 21-14. The Eagles (8-1) held off their NFC East rivals, the Dallas Cowboys, for a 28-23 home victory. The Chiefs rallied for 17 points in the fourth quarter to edge Philadelphia 38-35 in Super Bowl 57 back in February for their second title under former Eagles coach Andy Reid.
Monday’s kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The SportsLine consensus lists the Chiefs as 2.5-point favorites in its latest Chiefs vs. Eagles odds, and the over/under for total points is 45.5. Before you make any Eagles vs. Chiefs picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Eagles vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. Eagles:
- Chiefs vs. Eagles spread: Kansas City -2.5
- Chiefs vs. Eagles over/under: 45.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Eagles money line: Philadelphia +122, Kansas City -145
- PHI: Eagles are 15-17 ATS as underdogs since the 2018 season
- KC: Chiefs are 15-11-2 ATS in non-conference games since 2018
- Chiefs vs. Eagles picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Chiefs vs. Eagles live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Chiefs can cover
Kansas City is 4-0 against the spread in the four meetings with the Eagles since Andy Reid took over as coach in 2013. The former Philadelphia boss is 31-6 straight-up in his career coming off a bye week and is 7-8 ATS in such games with the Chiefs. The offense led by reigning league MVP Patrick Mahomes hasn’t been as dynamic so far, but the young defense is picking up any slack. The Chiefs allow 15.9 points (second in the NFL) and 288 yards (fourth) per game.
The Chiefs are tied for third, with 31 sacks, with George Karlaftis (six), Chris Jones (5.5) and Mike Danna (5.5) keeping quarterbacks uncomfortable. The Eagles have the NFL’s best run defense, but rank 28th against the pass (257 yards per game). Mahomes is sixth in the league in passing yards (2,442), and Travis Kelce remains the league’s standard for tight ends. He has 57 catches for 597 yards in 2023 and had 81 yards and a TD in the Super Bowl victory. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Eagles can cover
Philadelphia is 5-2-2 against the spread, second-best in the NFL, and is 3-0-1 ATS in its past four primetime games. The Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their past six prime-time matchups and 2-7 ATS in their past nine such games at home. The Eagles seemed in control of the Super Bowl before Kansas City’s rally. They outgained the Chiefs 417-340 and held Patrick Mahomes to 182 passing yards. Philadelphia averages 28 points (third in NFL) and 377 yards (fifth) this season.
Quarterback Jalen Hurts has thrown for 2,347 yards and rushed for 316, accounting for 22 touchdowns. He threw for 304 and ran for 70, with one TD pass and three on the ground in the Super Bowl. DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown, second in the NFL with 1,005 receiving yards in 2023, combined for 13 catches for 196 yards in the big game. The Eagles defense has the most sacks since the start of last season (100) and allows an NFL-low 66 rushing yards per game. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Eagles vs. Chiefs picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting 47 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Eagles vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Eagles vs. Chiefs spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.